Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.648882 0.841175 1.058671 1.319744 1.621500 1.956368 2.353088
2025-03-30 0.411593 0.656830 0.970646 1.387087 1.910984 2.534911 3.320638
2025-04-06 0.253448 0.508366 0.878619 1.417807 2.146994 3.065800 4.277585
2025-04-13 0.141255 0.373654 0.762453 1.384150 2.283581 3.474624 5.107807
2025-04-20 0.081350 0.291171 0.695221 1.397869 2.473461 3.955286 6.048880
2025-04-27 0.045016 0.229026 0.639526 1.412420 2.656508 4.429376 6.997036
2025-05-04 0.019899 0.166805 0.559798 1.367984 2.738971 4.760123 7.759203
2025-05-11 0.006926 0.118260 0.486296 1.315663 2.796294 5.049558 8.467839
2025-05-18 0.002252 0.091372 0.450212 1.323063 2.945362 5.474791 9.375907
2025-05-25 0.000269 0.064028 0.396880 1.283287 3.006952 5.766260 10.097598
2025-06-01 0.000027 0.055606 0.396923 1.354732 3.264306 6.364962 11.277836
2025-06-08 NaN 0.041890 0.369324 1.358584 3.398762 6.774620 12.189583
2025-06-15 NaN 0.038641 0.382582 1.462381 3.727486 7.510633 13.615395
2025-06-22 NaN 0.032804 0.380814 1.529712 3.992639 8.154755 14.921547
2025-06-29 NaN 0.025486 0.365379 1.559996 4.188858 8.693704 16.082489
2025-07-06 NaN 0.016356 0.327196 1.522773 4.250528 9.013675 16.918545
2025-07-13 NaN 0.011649 0.309445 1.536735 4.412112 9.501477 18.018628
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008119 0.293469 1.551901 4.575290 9.994580 19.134112
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004234 0.259463 1.504329 4.604397 10.260134 19.900871
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001795 0.226081 1.448402 4.609301 10.481517 20.600225
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000923 0.212785 1.456255 4.750792 10.941678 21.681847
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000243 0.187529 1.413759 4.776965 11.198921 22.444882
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000174 0.193332 1.490014 5.074058 11.941921 23.993476